FR
FRANKLIN RESOURCES INC (BEN)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 FY25 GAAP diluted EPS was $0.26 and adjusted diluted EPS was $0.47, essentially in line with Wall Street consensus, while operating revenues of $2.11B missed expectations due to Western Asset outflows and softer markets . EPS consensus for Q2 was ~$0.473 and revenue consensus was ~$2.441B; actuals were $0.47 and $2.111B, respectively, marking a significant revenue miss and an in-line EPS print*.
- Long-term net outflows were $26.2B; excluding Western Asset, the firm achieved $7.4B of long‑term net inflows, with multi‑asset and alternatives delivering a combined $9.7B in positive net flows .
- Management highlighted ongoing expense discipline and guided Q3 FY25 effective fee rate to ~38 bps, with comp & benefits ~$810M, IS&T ~$155M, occupancy ~$70M, and G&A ~$185M; FY25 adjusted expenses expected roughly flat vs FY24 and FY26 run‑rate cost saves of $200–$250M reiterated .
- Strategic growth vectors remained intact: ETFs posted their 14th consecutive quarter of positive net flows (+$4.1B) and alternatives fundraising reached $6.8B in the quarter; institutional pipeline rose to $20.4B, the highest since 2022 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Alternatives and multi-asset momentum: “Fundraising in alternatives generated $6.8 billion for the quarter… Designed for wealth channel clients, these funds raised $2 billion in AUM” . Multi‑asset and alternatives combined delivered $9.7B in net inflows .
- ETF strength and product innovation: “Our ETF business saw its 14th consecutive quarter of positive net flows, attracting $4.1 billion with a record high in assets under management” . Launch of Franklin Crypto Index ETF and tokenized UCITS fund expanded digital asset offerings .
- Institutional pipeline: “Our institutional pipeline of won‑but‑unfunded mandates rose by $2.3 billion to $20.4 billion – its highest level since 2022” .
What Went Wrong
- Western Asset drag and net outflows: Long‑term net outflows totaled $26.2B, inclusive of $33.6B from Western; markets were a further $11.6B negative, driving ending AUM down to $1.5406T (−2% q/q, −6% y/y) .
- Margin compression and sequential declines: Operating margin fell to 6.9% (from 9.7% in Q1), adjusted operating income declined to $377.2M (−9% q/q), and adjusted diluted EPS fell to $0.47 (−20% q/q) .
- Non‑GAAP adjustment headwind: Adjusted net income includes a $41.4M loss (−$0.06 per diluted share) on a renewable energy seed investment associated with a closed fund, pressuring non‑GAAP EPS .
Financial Results
Segment/AUM breakdown:
KPIs:
Additional AUM disclosures (April/quarter updates):
- Preliminary month‑end AUM was $1.5348T at Apr 30, 2025 (vs $1.5406T at Mar 31), reflecting ~$10B long‑term net outflows at Western; ex‑Western long‑term net inflows were flat .
- March 31 preliminary update noted quarterly long‑term net outflows of $26B inclusive of $34B at Western, with ex‑Western preliminary long‑term net inflows of $8B .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Long‑term inflows increased by 9% quarter‑over‑quarter (excluding reinvested distributions), and multi‑asset and alternatives generated a combined $9.7 billion in positive net flows.” – Jennifer Johnson, President & CEO .
- “Our ETF business saw its 14th consecutive quarter of positive net flows, attracting $4.1 billion with a record high in assets under management.” – Jennifer Johnson .
- “We continue to focus on sound expense discipline and operational efficiencies, including the recent integration of Western’s select corporate functions into Franklin Templeton.” – Jennifer Johnson .
- “We expect our effective fee rate for the third quarter to remain in the 38 basis point area… comp and benefits to around $810 million… IS&T to be $155 million… occupancy around $70 million… G&A around $185 million.” – Matthew Nicholls, CFO & COO .
Q&A Highlights
- Expense architecture and guidance: CFO detailed Q3 guardrails (EFR ~38 bps; C&B ~$810M; IS&T ~$155M; occupancy ~$70M; G&A ~$185M) and reiterated FY25 flat expenses and FY26 $200–$250M run‑rate cost saves .
- Ex‑Western flows resilience: Management noted ex‑Western fixed income net inflows and “flattish” April ex‑Western flows despite volatility, highlighting diversified growth engines (ETFs, SMAs, alternatives) .
- Private markets traction: Alternatives by Franklin Templeton is scaling perpetual vehicles (> $1B each in secondaries, real estate debt, real estate equity); Lexington’s flagship timing likely later in 2025/early 2026, with strong opportunity set in secondaries .
- Fixed income mix and Western update: Franklin fixed income, munis, stable value, high yield, CLOs and short duration strategies saw good demand; Western remains engaged with clients, with ~$10B April net outflows balanced by ~$5B gross sales .
- Insurance channel partnership: Putnam partnership with Great‑West continues to scale; of initial $25B commitment, ~$21–$22B funded, with broader insurance mandates consolidating toward fewer managers, benefitting Franklin’s breadth .
Estimates Context
- BEN delivered an in-line EPS print and a meaningful revenue miss versus consensus, with EBITDA below expectations driven by fee mix, Western outflows, and lower adjusted operating margin .
- Forward estimates imply modest sequential improvement in FY25/early FY26 (EPS/Revenue), but mix and Western normalization remain key swing factors*.
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Mix matters: The revenue miss underscores sensitivity to Western and fee rate mix; monitor monthly AUM disclosures (including Western) for stabilization signals .
- Expense discipline is a near‑term support: Q3 guidance and FY25 flat expense trajectory, plus FY26 $200–$250M run‑rate saves, provide margin protection into FY26 .
- Growth vectors intact: ETFs, SMAs (Canvas), and alternatives show durable momentum; multi‑asset/alternatives (+$9.7B) can offset traditional fixed‑income headwinds .
- Alternatives wealth channel strategy is scaling: Perpetual vehicles and education infrastructure should drive sustained fundraising; Lexington flagship timing is a 2H25/early 2026 catalyst .
- International diversification contributes: Positive net flows in EMEA/Americas ex‑U.S. and ~$470B non‑U.S. AUM provide resilience amid U.S. tariff uncertainty .
- Dividend stability: Quarterly dividend maintained at $0.32 per share; income investors can expect continuity while growth initiatives ramp .
- Trading lens: Near‑term tape will respond to monthly Western outflow prints and Q3 cost execution; medium‑term thesis rests on fee‑rate uplift, alternatives scaling, and FY26 margin expansion .
S&P Global disclaimer: Consensus and estimate values marked with * are retrieved from S&P Global.